Wednesday, March 09, 2005

The ChiComs are at it again!

The ChiComs are at it again!

The ChiComs are at it again. China is warning the US, and Japan, to stay out of what they (China) see as an internal problem between itself and Taiwan. Taiwan doesn’t see it that way. The US view is a bit more muddled. Depending on who is making pronouncements, from the US, in reference to the Two China Policy (or lack there-of. See what I mean?).

The US has a serious problem in the dispute between China and Taiwan. You see, the US has a treaty with Taiwan to come to their aid should China attack them. China continues to bluster and test fire missiles, dangerously close to Taiwan, to get their “attention”. What they have managed to do is get the attention of Japan. They are ancient enemies.

What is not generally known, is that Japan has one of the largest, best trained, and best equipped military forces in the world. True, it is a self-defense force, but some quick legislation could change that.

If the Taiwan/China situation flares into open warfare, the US will respond on the side of Taiwan. If it happens during the George W. Bush Administration the US will respond militarily. We will go head to head with the Chinese to protect Taiwan. If Japan comes in with us, China may have more on it’s plate than it is truly equipped to handled. There are few militaries in the world better equipped than Japan’s forces.

If the Democrats win the 2008 election, expect to see an all out invasion of Taiwan by the ChiComs. The invasion will come quickly, into the new administration, and will be swift and merciless. China knows a Democrat in the office of the President of the US will be a “push over” and will not hesitate to push right past him, or her.

China also knows the Republicans will fight. The Chinese were not slow at figuring this out. They remember it was a Republican General, Douglas McArthur, who pushed them back to the 38th Parallel in Korea. They also remember it was a Democrat President who fired McArthur…Truman. They don’t miss, seemingly small, historical points as Americans do. No, they have long memories and they are prepared to wait until the opportune moment to strike. And strike they will.

China is torn somewhat at the moment. Although they realize we are otherwise occupied (With Iraq and the War on Terror, including a coming dust-up with Syria, and a probable land war in Iran.) they still do not know the precise strength of the US military, nor are they yet able to read the response from the remainder of the world. They can handle the UN (anybody can). But… can they handle the US, Japan, and Great Britain?

The Taiwan/China situation is a powder keg with a lit fuse. Sooner or later it will go off. When it does, the US will be committed for the long haul and the Chinese soldiers don’t run away. It will be a classic “slugfest” on land, in the air, on the oceans (and under them as well.) The submarine warfare will be quick, and decisive, for the US. US forces will retake the Gulf of Mexico, and Pacific, "gates" of the Panama Canal in hours. The air war will be fairly quick also. The sea "Surface war” will be another slugfest unpararelled since the Second World War. The land war will be long, and costly, for both sides. It will probably end with the signing of a cease-fire some months into the campaign. How that document reads will depend on the current leadership in the office of the President of the US at that time.

Pray that it is a Republican.

Your Obedient Servant,

“Longstreet”

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